Proebsting's Paradox

Proebsting's Paradox

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Medium:  Paradox
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Release Message:  It is counterintuitive that you bet more when some of the bet is at unfavorable odds. Authored by Todd Proebsting
Description:  In probability theory, Proebsting's paradox is an argument that appears to show that the Kelly criterion can lead to ruin. Although it can be resolved mathematically, it raises some interesting issues about the practical application of Kelly, especially in investing. It was named and first discussed by Edward O. Thorp in 2008. The Kelly criterion is an often optimal strategy for maximizing profit in the long run. Proebsting's paradox apparently shows that the Kelly criterion can lead to ruin. It is counterintuitive that you bet more when some of the bet is at unfavorable odds.